Follow the money. Examine performance, outcome concentration, and persistence — surfacing entities whose consistent profitability, viewed alongside elevated surveillance activity, warrants analytical attention.
It doesn’t matter how good a trader you are — you don’t always win. Those who win consistently are often the ones breaking the rules.
Persistent profitability is prioritization context — the starting point for governed review, not a conclusion.
Move from individual outcomes to population-relative patterns, alert context, persistence, and recurring counterparties.
Measure outcomes across defined populations and windows.
Compare each entity with its relevant peer population.
Align economic results with surveillance events.
Test whether patterns persist, concentrate, or change.
Recurring favorable outcomes worth analytical attention.
Do favorable and adverse outcomes recur between the same populations?
Recurring adverse outcomes and who bears them.
Persistence and concentration inform review priority; they do not establish intent or a conclusion about conduct.
Repeated favorable outcomes can strengthen a review when they align with behavioral, event, or relationship evidence. We measure persistence, concentration, and benchmark-relative performance using the most defensible economic-outcome measure available.
Outcome evidence increases priority only when interpreted with corroborating context.